RESEARCH NOTES
Even When U.S. Industrial Production Stagnates, Manufacturing Declines: Why Facility Investments Cannot Be Decided by Average Indicators
The preliminary U.S. industrial production figures for August 2026 simultaneously show overall flatness and a decrease in manufacturing. It is necessary to distinguish the denominators of production levels, rates of change, and capacity utilization rates, and connect macroeconomic statistics to investment decisions for customer industries and bottleneck processes.
The announcement that U.S. industrial production remained unchanged from the previous month does not mean that the economy stood still. This is because the result is a combination of changes across different industries. According to U.S.…
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