management-insight
Management Strategy in the Era of Low Growth: What Should Companies Cut and What Should They Keep?
As South Korea's potential growth rate drops into the 1% range (approx. 1.8%) and is projected to fall toward 0% around the 2040s, the market has entered a structural low-growth era where expansion-driven growth models no longer work. Companies with an interest coverage ratio of less than 100% have reached an all-time high of 42.8%, and the proportion of zombie firms has also hit historic peaks, deepening the polarization of corporate resilience while the resource occupation by distressed firms creates a congestion effect that drags down the growth of healthy companies. What must be reduced are business portfolios unrelated to core competencies, fixed costs accumulated from growth inertia, and top-line operations with weak margins and cash flow, with 'selection' based on priorities rather than indiscriminate cuts being the key. What must be retained until the end includes core talent and organizational capabilities, selective investments in future growth engines such as digital and AI, and financial soundness and cash reserves to withstand external shocks. The question for executives in the low-growth era has shifted from 'How can we grow faster?' to 'What should we cut and keep to build the resilience to endure the next cycle?', proving that strategy ultimately begins with knowing what to give up.

As South Korea's potential growth rate drops into the 1% range (approx. 1.8%) and is projected to fall toward 0% around the 2040s, the market has entered a structural low-growth era where expansion-driven growth models no longer work. Companies with an interest coverage ratio of less than 100% have reached an all-time high of 42.8%, and the proportion of zombie firms has also hit historic peaks, deepening the polarization of corporate resilience while the resource occupation by distressed firms creates a congestion effect that drags down the growth of healthy companies. What must be reduced are business portfolios unrelated to core competencies, fixed costs accumulated from growth inertia, and top-line operations with weak margins and cash flow, with 'selection' based on priorities rather than indiscriminate cuts being the key. What must be retained until the end includes core talent and organizational capabilities, selective investments in future growth engines such as digital and AI, and financial soundness and cash reserves to withstand external shocks. The question for executives in the low-growth era has shifted from 'How can we grow faster?' to 'What should we cut and keep to build the resilience to endure the next cycle?', proving that strategy ultimately begins with knowing what to give up.
Entering the Era of 1% Potential Growth and 17% Zombie Firms — The Grammar of Survival Has Shifted from 'Expansion' to 'Selection' Diagnoses that the South Korean economy has entered a structural low-growth phase are gradually solidifying. In its economic outlook report released in November 2025, the Bank of Korea estimated the nation's potential growth rate at around 1.8%, while the Korea Development Institute (KDI) similarly projected the current year's potential growth rate in the upper 1% range in its outlook for the first half of 2025. According to the baseline scenario, influenced by demographic shifts, the potential growth rate is expected to continue its downward trend in the future, dropping to around 0% by the 2040s. This means that the potential growth rate, which stood at around 5% in the early 2000s, has slipped into the 1% range within a single generation. Low growth is not…
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